On October 27, Israel will hold its first national election since Hamas attacked just over three years ago. Given the ongoing war with Iran, the tenuous—at best—peace in Gaza, and the country’s ever-changing relationships with its neighboring nations, Tuesday’s vote could have massive implications for the future of the region. However, chances are good that Wednesday will come without much clarity as to who will be in charge.
You see, Israel’s election process is quite a bit different from what we have in America. Rather than voting for individuals, Israelis will cast their votes for one of an estimated thirty-eight parties in the running. To be part of the country’s parliament and get a voice in the government’s direction, a party has to get at least 3.25 percent of the votes. As of now, it’s estimated that around eleven will make the cut.
The final results are due by November 4, at which point the leading group typically gets the first shot at convincing enough of the other parties to support them to come away with a majority in the 120-seat delegation. I say typically because President Isaac Herzog technically gets to decide who gets the first chance, though it usually goes to the party that received the most votes.
Once that selection is made, the party will have twenty-eight days to form its coalition and reach a majority. If they fail, Herzog can either choose to give them an extra two weeks or move on to the next party.
The latest polls have the race neck-and-neck between Gadi Eisenkot’s “Yashar” party and current Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s “Likud” party. Both are projected to come in well below the necessary sixty-one-vote threshold, though, and neither has a clear path to get there. Still, when everything is finally decided, many expect the country will have someone new in charge.
Israel’s place in the world
Given the string of military successes Israel has had since the October 7 attacks, it may come as a surprise that Netanyahu faces an uphill battle to stay in control. However, as Bobby Miller describes, “Whatever else is on the ballot come October 27, Israelis are entitled to ask what has been done to ensure that such a catastrophe cannot happen again.” And, in that regard, the picture is cloudy at best.
Netanyahu has long maintained power by arguing that the key to Israel’s safety lies in its strength. After three years of war, few doubt Israel’s military power. Iran and its proxies have been reduced to something far more akin to Monty Python’s armless knight shouting “just a flesh wound” than the “existential” threat that existed before. However, there are open questions as to whether the nation is safer as a result.
In the years leading up to the October 7 attacks, Israel had been slowly making progress in normalizing its relationships with several of its key neighbors in the Middle East. Many believe that the invasion by Hamas was “intended to sabotage such talks” by forcing the rest of the Muslim world to choose between Israel and Gaza. They chose Gaza, and any further discussions were put on hold until the war reached its current truce.
Still, even before October 7, nations like Saudi Arabia were inching closer to normalizing relations with Israel because they feared Iran rather than because they genuinely wanted to be in an alliance with their Jewish neighbors. While Iran is not yet entirely defeated, and these nations continue to harbor no traces of goodwill toward it, its power has been reduced enough that it’s no longer seen as the same threat it once was. As a result, many of these countries have begun to look elsewhere for alliances and security.
Saudi Arabia, for example, recently signed an agreement with Turkey and Pakistan that’s modeled somewhat after NATO’s Article Five in that it’s a pact to defend one another against foreign aggression. The end result is that Israel is as isolated as they’ve been in some time.
They have some friendships, and it’s still possible that they’ll normalize relations with many of these countries over the coming years, but America continues to be the only other nation that seems heavily invested in defending Israel against its enemies, and even that relationship is less secure than it once was. That’s a troubling thought for many Israelis; one that could lead them to look in a new direction for leadership going forward.
How much do you need Jesus?
Although Gadi Eisenkot holds views similar to Netanyahu’s on Gaza, Hamas, Iran, and many other key issues, he has a good chance of winning simply because he is not Benjamin Netanyahu. To be clear, the outcome is far from certain. But it’s worth noting that their biggest differences are more about personality than policy, which could have an impact on rebuilding Israel’s reputation on the world stage.
And that’s a lesson we need to keep in mind as well.
As Christians, one of the most important truths we need to remember is that every action we take, and the manner in which we take it, reflects on our Lord. That doesn’t mean God expects us to be perfect—though that is the standard we’re called to aspire to (Matthew 5:48). But it does mean that we don’t get to take days off when it comes to living out our faith well.
I don’t know about you, but the 24/7 nature of the Christian walk can feel overwhelming at times. And it should. We’re not built for that kind of existence, and that’s on purpose.
God created us to need him in order to help us live every day in communion with him. He even gave us the Holy Spirit to help facilitate that relationship. But if your daily life does not require his help to live well, then it’s worth asking if you’ve set your sights too low. And one of the easiest ways to make that mistake is by keeping our faith a secret and our spiritual life firmly separated from everything else.
Our heavenly Father wants more for us and from us than that. We are called to live in such a way that when we interact with others, they will recognize that we have been with Jesus (Acts 4:13).
Will that be true for you today?
Quote of the day:
“The highest reward for a faithful life is not what you get for it but what you become by it.” —Warren Wiersbe
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